|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING DOWN
The Athletics are competing to make the playoffs but their chances are on a downward trend. In our pre-season forecast they had a 44.1% chance of making the playoffs. On 3/19 they had a 45.5% chance before dropping to 4.3% on 5/17. From the start of the season to now their chances are down significantly to 20.8%. They have a 1.7% chance of winning their division. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AL at 3.2% (30/1 odds) and a 1.6% chance of winning it all (60/1).
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Athletics' Season Forecast Changes
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B
At 43-38 the Athletics are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 42.3 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 26 good wins vs 23 bad losses. They have won 50% of their road games and were expected to win 50%. At home they have a 56% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 54%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (13-8, 62%) is better than their expected 53% win percentage. The Athletics should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 52.9% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#13 in the league). They have moved up from #17 in the league back on 5/6.
Their record should be better. Their average run differential is +0.53 which ranks #6 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #8. They are the #6 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #7 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is +1.83 which ranks them #4 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY
The forecast for their next 10 games is generally good. They have 2 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 4 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.
The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 6-4 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 8 or more are 9.7%. At #8 in the league, they are behind the Red Sox by one point. With a +0.46 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of improving their league seed. They are ahead of the Angels by 2.5 points. With a +0.96 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.
The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Athletics are the 8th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Athletics are playing 11 games, traveling 8738 miles crossing 2 time zones. They rank #9 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
The Oakland Athletics' next game is on June 26. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|30||Anderson, Brett||SP||6-3||230||02/01/1988||11||No College|
|53||Anderson, Tanner||SP||6-2||203||05/27/1993||2||No College|
|35||Brooks, Aaron||RP||6-4||230||04/27/1990||4||No College|
|52||Buchter, Ryan||RP||6-4||232||02/13/1987||5||No College|
|26||Chapman, Matt||3B||6-0||220||04/28/1993||3||No College|
|2||Davis, Khris||DH||5-11||203||12/21/1987||7||No College|
|50||Fiers, Mike||SP||6-2||202||06/15/1985||9||No College|
|8||Grossman, Robbie||LF||6-0||215||09/16/1989||7||No College|
|16||Hendriks, Liam||RP||6-0||225||02/10/1989||9||No College|
|22||Laureano, Ramon||CF||5-11||200||07/15/1994||2||No College|
|33||Mengden, Daniel||SP||6-1||225||02/19/1993||4||Texas A&M|
|28||Olson, Matt||1B||6-5||230||03/29/1994||4||No College|
|36||Petit, Yusmeiro||RP||6-1||255||11/22/1984||12||No College|
|18||Pinder, Chad||LF||6-2||207||03/29/1992||4||Virginia Tech|
|23||Profar, Jurickson||2B||6-0||190||02/20/1993||6||No College|
|54||Schlitter, Brian||RP||6-3||238||12/21/1985||4||No College|
|48||Soria, Joakim||RP||6-3||200||05/18/1984||12||No College|
|62||Trivino, Lou||RP||6-5||240||10/01/1991||2||No College|
|61||Wang, Wei-Chung||RP||6-1||160||04/25/1992||3||No College|
|57||Wendelken, J.B.||RP||6-1||240||03/24/1993||3||No College|