New York
Yankees
Stadium Yankee Stadium
51-28 Overall | AL EAST 1st
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Yankees.2614391324.04
Schedule
Regular season
Wed  6/19
vs
Rays
W12-1
Thu  6/20
vs
Astros
W10-6
Fri  6/21
vs
Astros
W4-1
Sat  6/22
vs
Astros
W7-5
Sun  6/23
vs
Astros
L4-9
Mon  6/24
vs
Blue Jays
W10-8
Tue  6/25
vs
Blue Jays
W4-3
Wed  6/26
vs
Blue Jays
1:05pm
Sat  6/29
@
Red Sox
FOX1:10pm
Sun  6/30
@
Red Sox
10:10am
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 8 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY

The Yankees next 8 game forecast looks pretty dreary. They have 2 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 3 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUN 26
LIKELY WIN
71% TOR
--
JUN 29
CLOSE GAME
52% @BOS
180 miles
JUN 30
CLOSE GAME
49% @BOS
-- miles
JUL 2
LIKELY WIN
66% @NYM
7 miles
JUL 3
CLOSE GAME
58% @NYM
-- miles
JUL 4
CLOSE GAME
49% @TB
1029 miles
JUL 5
CLOSE GAME
49% @TB
-- miles
JUL 6
CLOSE GAME
41% @TB
-- miles
JUL 7
CLOSE GAME
54% @TB
-- miles
JUL 12
CLOSE GAME
59% TOR
--

The most likely scenario over the next 8 games is a record of 4-4 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 6 or more are 20.1%. At #2 in the league, they are behind the Twins by half a point. With a -0.7 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 8 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Astros by 1.5 points. With a -1.66 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 8 games they may find the gap between them closing.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Yankees are just the 27th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Yankees are playing 9 games, traveling 8996 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #15 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the New York Yankees' next game. They are -270 favorites and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-

At 51-28 the Yankees are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 46 wins. They have won 60% of their road games and were expected to win 55%. At home they have a 68% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 60%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (13-8, 62%) is better than their expected 59% win percentage. We have simulated the Yankees playing every other team on a neutral court (with players who would be available in the playoffs) and they won an impressive 62.7% of the time (#3 in the league). They have moved up from #5 in the league back on 5/6.

Their record is slightly better than it should be. Their average run differential is +1.22 which ranks #3 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #2. They are the #5 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #3 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is +2 which ranks them #2 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

The Yankees are World Series contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 15.2% chance of winning it all. On 3/29 they had a 19.1% chance before dropping to 5.1% on 6/15. From the start of the season to now their chances are down to 14.4%. Before the start of their 2 game winning streak they were at 11.6%. They have an 82.4% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #2 in the conference and have a 98% chance of making the playoffs. Based on the odds, they have a 36.4% chance of winning the AL (7/4) and a 20% chance of winning it all (4/1). In simulations they make the World Series 27.5% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 48% #10 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 46% #3 Easiest

Yankees' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
53 Britton, Zack RP6-120012/22/19879No College
85 Cessa, Luis RP6-020804/25/19924No College
54 Chapman, Aroldis RP6-421802/28/198810No College
67 Cortes, Nestor RP5-1119012/10/19942No College
30 Encarnacion, Edwin 1B6-123001/07/198315No College
11 Gardner, Brett CF5-1119508/24/198312No College
57 Green, Chad RP6-321505/24/19914Louisville
18 Gregorius, Didi SS6-320502/18/19908No College
75 Hale, David RP6-221009/27/19876No College
34 Happ, J.A. SP6-520510/19/198213Northwestern
31 Hicks, Aaron CF6-120510/02/19897No College
99 Judge, Aaron RF6-728204/26/19924Fresno State
48 Kahnle, Tommy RP6-123008/07/19896No College
26 LeMahieu, DJ 2B6-422007/13/19889LSU
0 Ottavino, Adam RP6-524611/22/19859No College
65 Paxton, James SP6-422711/06/19887Kentucky
28 Romine, Austin C6-121611/22/19888No College
52 Sabathia, CC SP6-630007/21/198019No College
24 Sanchez, Gary C6-223012/02/19925No College
27 Stanton, Giancarlo LF6-624511/08/198910No College
19 Tanaka, Masahiro SP6-321811/01/19886No College
71 Tarpley, Stephen RP6-122002/17/19932No College
25 Torres, Gleyber SS6-120512/13/19962No College
29 Urshela, Gio 3B6-021510/11/19914No College
45 Voit, Luke 1B6-325502/13/19913No College