|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP
The Twins are World Series contenders and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had less than a 1% chance of winning it all. On 3/20 they had a 0.4% chance before increasing to 9.3% on 6/4. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 5.9%. They have an 83.9% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #1 in the conference and have a 94% chance of making the playoffs. Based on the odds, they have a 25% chance of winning the AL (3/1) and a 14.3% chance of winning it all (6/1). In simulations they make the World Series 14.6% of the time.
Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Easy
Twins' Season Forecast Changes
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-
At 51-27 the Twins are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 42 wins. In the process of beating expectations they have had 31 impressive wins where they were given
Their average run differential is +1.41 which ranks #1 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #1 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams. They are trending down. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is -0.23 (#9 over this stretch).
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY
The Twins next 10 game forecast looks like 'partly sunny skies'. They have 2 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, 6 more 'toss up' games, and 2 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 5-5 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 17.2%. At #1 in the league, they are ahead of the Yankees by half a point. With a +0.7 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Twins are just the 24th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Twins are playing 11 games, traveling 11586 miles crossing 12 time zones. They rank #11 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Minnesota Twins' next game. They are -113 favorites and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|2||Arraez, Luis||2B||5-10||155||04/09/1997||1||No College|
|64||Astudillo, Willians||C||5-9||225||10/14/1991||2||No College|
|17||Berrios, Jose||SP||6-1||185||05/27/1994||4||No College|
|60||Cave, Jake||RF||6-0||200||12/04/1992||2||No College|
|23||Cruz, Nelson||DH||6-2||230||07/01/1980||15||No College|
|18||Garver, Mitch||C||6-1||220||01/15/1991||3||New Mexico|
|19||Harper, Ryne||RP||6-3||215||03/27/1989||1||No College|
|26||Kepler, Max||RF||6-4||205||02/10/1993||5||No College|
|52||Littell, Zack||RP||6-3||190||No College|
|68||Magill, Matt||RP||6-3||210||11/10/1989||4||No College|
|65||May, Trevor||RP||6-5||240||09/23/1989||5||No College|
|51||Morin, Mike||RP||6-4||220||05/03/1991||6||North Carolina|
|12||Odorizzi, Jake||SP||6-2||190||03/27/1990||8||No College|
|33||Perez, Martin||SP||6-0||200||04/04/1991||8||No College|
|35||Pineda, Michael||SP||6-7||260||01/18/1989||6||No College|
|11||Polanco, Jorge||SS||5-11||200||07/05/1993||6||No College|
|20||Rosario, Eddie||LF||6-1||180||09/28/1991||5||No College|
|22||Sano, Miguel||3B||6-4||260||05/11/1993||5||No College|
|16||Schoop, Jonathan||2B||6-1||225||10/16/1991||7||No College|