Milwaukee
Brewers
Stadium Miller Park
42-37 Overall | NL CENTRAL 2nd
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Brewers.2503931364.71
Schedule
Regular season
Thu  6/20
vs
Reds
L1-7
Fri  6/21
vs
Reds
L7-11
Sat  6/22
vs
Reds
W6-5
Sun  6/23
vs
Reds
W7-5
Tue  6/25
vs
Mariners
L3-8
Wed  6/26
vs
Mariners
8:10pm
Thu  6/27
vs
Mariners
2:10pm
Fri  6/28
vs
Pirates
8:10pm
Sat  6/29
vs
Pirates
FOX8:15pm
Sun  6/30
vs
Pirates
2:10pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The Brewers next 10 game forecast looks like 'partly sunny skies'. They have 4 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 2 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUN 26
CLOSE GAME
51% SEA
--
JUN 27
CLOSE GAME
58% SEA
--
JUN 28
LIKELY WIN
74% PIT
--
JUN 29
LIKELY WIN
66% PIT
--
JUN 30
LIKELY WIN
72% PIT
--
JUL 1
CLOSE GAME
42% @CIN
326 miles
JUL 2
CLOSE GAME
47% @CIN
-- miles
JUL 3
CLOSE GAME
51% @CIN
-- miles
JUL 4
CLOSE GAME
56% @CIN
-- miles
JUL 5
LIKELY WIN
64% @PIT
257 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 6-4 (23% chance). Their chances of winning 8 or more are 14.1%. At #4 in the league, they are behind the Cubs by one point. Their projected wins (5.84) over the next 10 games is virtually the same so we do not expect a change in standings in the near term. They are ahead of the Rockies by one point. With a +1.78 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Brewers are the 19th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Brewers are playing 12 games, traveling 5296 miles crossing 14 time zones. They rank #20 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The Milwaukee Brewers' next game is on June 26. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-

At 42-37 the Brewers are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 41.6 wins. They have 23 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 20 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game, or a 5+ final margin). They have won 46% of their road games and were expected to win 49%. At home they have a 60% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 56%. Over the past 3 weeks they have played poorly going 8-11, 42%. The Brewers are a good team (in simulations) and won 55% of the simulations vs every other team playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#9 in the league). Their peak rank was #4 in the league back on 4/8.

Their record is better than it should be. Their average run differential is -0.08 which ranks #10 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #4. They are the #8 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #10 ranked team among home teams. They are trending down. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is -1.33 (#14 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

The Brewers are World Series contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 4.2% chance of winning it all. On 3/19 they had a 3.6% chance before increasing to 11.5% on 6/17. Their current chances are at 4.4%. They have a 30.2% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #4 in the conference and have a 66% chance of making the playoffs. Based on the odds, they have a 12.5% chance of winning the NL (7/1) and a 6.7% chance of winning it all (14/1). In simulations they make the World Series 9.7% of the time.

Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Hard

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #9 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 51% #8 Toughest

Brewers' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
24 Aguilar, Jesus 1B6-328506/30/19906No College
43 Albers, Matt RP6-126001/20/198314No College
57 Anderson, Chase SP6-020111/30/19876Oklahoma
3 Arcia, Orlando SS6-018108/04/19944No College
8 Braun, Ryan LF6-220711/17/198313Miami (FL)
6 Cain, Lorenzo CF6-220504/13/198610No College
45 Chacin, Jhoulys SP6-325501/07/198811No College
58 Claudio, Alex RP6-316001/31/19926No College
27 Davies, Zach SP6-016502/07/19935No College
16 Gamel, Ben LF5-1118705/17/19924No College
10 Grandal, Yasmani C6-122011/08/19888Miami (FL)
41 Guerra, Junior RP5-1123401/16/19855No College
71 Hader, Josh RP6-317704/07/19943No College
37 Houser, Adrian RP6-321602/02/19933No College
32 Jeffress, Jeremy RP6-020509/21/198710No College
11 Moustakas, Mike 2B6-021109/11/19889No College
52 Nelson, Jimmy SP6-624006/05/19896Alabama
51 Peralta, Freddy SP5-1119406/04/19962No College
14 Perez, Hernan 2B6-121403/26/19918No College
9 Pina, Manny C5-1121606/05/19876No College
21 Shaw, Travis 3B6-322504/16/19905Kent State
7 Thames, Eric 1B5-1121611/10/19865No College
56 Wilkerson, Aaron RP6-223005/24/19893No College
53 Woodruff, Brandon SP6-423202/10/19933Mississippi State
22 Yelich, Christian RF6-320012/05/19917No College