Miami
Marlins
Stadium Marlins Park
30-47 Overall | NL EAST 5th
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Marlins.237268604.24
Schedule
Regular season
Thu  6/20
@
Cardinals
W / 117-6
Fri  6/21
@
Phillies
W2-1
Sat  6/22
@
Phillies
W5-3
Sun  6/23
@
Phillies
W6-4
Tue  6/25
vs
Nationals
L1-6
Wed  6/26
vs
Nationals
7:10pm
Thu  6/27
vs
Nationals
7:10pm
Fri  6/28
vs
Phillies
7:10pm
Sat  6/29
vs
Phillies
4:10pm
Sun  6/30
vs
Phillies
1:10pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

Before the season, the Marlins were projected for 63.7 points (average per simulation) and things are looking positive. On 5/12 they had a 54.2% chance before increasing to 68.3% on 6/25. From the start of the season to now their chances are up to 68%.

Strength of Schedule Getting Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 52% #4 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 51% #8 Toughest

Marlins' Season Forecast Changes

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B

At 30-47 the Marlins are behind their money line projected win total of 30.3 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 27 good wins vs 18 bad losses. They have won 45% of their road games and were expected to win 37%. At home they have a 33% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 42%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (9-11, 45%) is better than their expected 39% win percentage. In simulations where the Marlins played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 42.2% of the time (#24 in the league). They have moved up from #30 in the league back on 5/17.

Their record should be better. Their average run differential is -0.97 which ranks #13 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #15. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #11 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #14 in home games. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is -0.08 (#9 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY

The Marlins next 10 game forecast looks pretty dreary. They have 6 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 47% chance of winning, and 4 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUN 26
LIKELY LOSS
39% WAS
--
JUN 27
CLOSE GAME
48% WAS
--
JUN 28
LIKELY WIN
66% PHI
--
JUN 29
CLOSE GAME
49% PHI
--
JUN 30
CLOSE GAME
48% PHI
--
JUL 2
LIKELY LOSS
29% @WAS
925 miles
JUL 3
LIKELY LOSS
36% @WAS
-- miles
JUL 4
CLOSE GAME
49% @WAS
-- miles
JUL 5
CLOSE GAME
48% @ATL
543 miles
JUL 6
LIKELY LOSS
35% @ATL
-- miles

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 5-5 (24% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 9.3%. At #15 in the league, they are behind the Giants by 3.5 points. They have a +0.54 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games and could narrow the gap.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Marlins are the 13th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Marlins are playing 11 games, traveling 9180 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #13 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Miami Marlins' next game. They are +138 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
22 Alcantara, Sandy SP6-518509/07/19953No College
15 Anderson, Brian 3B6-219805/19/19933Arkansas
70 Anderson, Nick RP6-519507/05/19901No College
37 Brice, Austin RP6-423506/19/19924No College
58 Castillo, Wilkin C6-021506/01/19843No College
13 Castro, Starlin 2B6-223003/24/199010No College
20 Chen, Wei-Yin RP6-019307/21/19858No College
61 Conley, Adam RP6-320105/24/19905Washington State
26 Cooper, Garrett RF6-623012/25/19903Auburn
52 Gallen, Zac SP6-119608/03/19951North Carolina
66 Garcia, Jarlin RP6-321701/18/19933No College
21 Granderson, Curtis LF6-119903/16/198116No College
56 Guerrero, Tayron RP6-721401/09/19913No College
57 Hernandez, Elieser RP6-121405/03/19952No College
28 Holaday, Bryan C6-021411/19/19878TCU
46 Puello, Cesar RF6-222004/01/19912No College
--- Quijada, Jose 6-017511/09/19951No College
47 Ramirez, Harold CF5-1123409/06/19941No College
36 Richards, Trevor SP6-219005/15/19932No College
10 Riddle, JT CF6-118810/12/19913Kentucky
2 Rivera, Yadiel 1B6-319005/02/19925No College
19 Rojas, Miguel SS5-1118802/24/19896No College
54 Romo, Sergio RP5-1118503/04/198312No College
--- Walker, Neil 6-321009/10/198511No College
50 Yamamoto, Jordan SP6-018505/11/19961No College