|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP
Before the season, the Marlins were projected for 63.7 points (average per simulation) and things are looking positive. On 5/12 they had a 54.2% chance before increasing to 68.3% on 6/25. From the start of the season to now their chances are up to 68%.
Strength of Schedule Getting Tougher
Marlins' Season Forecast Changes
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B
At 30-47 the Marlins are behind their money line projected win total of 30.3 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 27 good wins vs 18 bad losses. They have won 45% of their road games and were expected to win 37%. At home they have a 33% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 42%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (9-11, 45%) is better than their expected 39% win percentage. In simulations where the Marlins played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 42.2% of the time (#24 in the league). They have moved up from #30 in the league back on 5/17.
Their record should be better. Their average run differential is -0.97 which ranks #13 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #15. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #11 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #14 in home games. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is -0.08 (#9 over this stretch).
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY
The Marlins next 10 game forecast looks pretty dreary. They have 6 games where they are expected to be competitive with at least a 47% chance of winning, and 4 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 5-5 (24% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 9.3%. At #15 in the league, they are behind the Giants by 3.5 points. They have a +0.54 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games and could narrow the gap.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Marlins are the 13th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Marlins are playing 11 games, traveling 9180 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #13 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Miami Marlins' next game. They are +138 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|22||Alcantara, Sandy||SP||6-5||185||09/07/1995||3||No College|
|70||Anderson, Nick||RP||6-5||195||07/05/1990||1||No College|
|37||Brice, Austin||RP||6-4||235||06/19/1992||4||No College|
|58||Castillo, Wilkin||C||6-0||215||06/01/1984||3||No College|
|13||Castro, Starlin||2B||6-2||230||03/24/1990||10||No College|
|20||Chen, Wei-Yin||RP||6-0||193||07/21/1985||8||No College|
|61||Conley, Adam||RP||6-3||201||05/24/1990||5||Washington State|
|52||Gallen, Zac||SP||6-1||196||08/03/1995||1||North Carolina|
|66||Garcia, Jarlin||RP||6-3||217||01/18/1993||3||No College|
|21||Granderson, Curtis||LF||6-1||199||03/16/1981||16||No College|
|56||Guerrero, Tayron||RP||6-7||214||01/09/1991||3||No College|
|57||Hernandez, Elieser||RP||6-1||214||05/03/1995||2||No College|
|46||Puello, Cesar||RF||6-2||220||04/01/1991||2||No College|
|---||Quijada, Jose||6-0||175||11/09/1995||1||No College|
|47||Ramirez, Harold||CF||5-11||234||09/06/1994||1||No College|
|36||Richards, Trevor||SP||6-2||190||05/15/1993||2||No College|
|2||Rivera, Yadiel||1B||6-3||190||05/02/1992||5||No College|
|19||Rojas, Miguel||SS||5-11||188||02/24/1989||6||No College|
|54||Romo, Sergio||RP||5-11||185||03/04/1983||12||No College|
|---||Walker, Neil||6-3||210||09/10/1985||11||No College|
|50||Yamamoto, Jordan||SP||6-0||185||05/11/1996||1||No College|