|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP
Before the season, the Angels were projected for 82.4 points (average per simulation) and things are looking positive. On 3/24 they had an 84% chance before dropping to 71.2% on 5/24. Their current chances are at 78.8%. They are not projected to finish in the Top 8 (#9 in the conference) and only have a 1% chance of making the playoffs. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the AL at 2% (50/1 odds) and a 1% chance of winning it all (100/1).
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Tougher
Angels' Season Forecast Changes
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B-
At 40-40 the Angels are behind their money line projected win total of 40.3 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 26 good wins vs 25 bad losses. They have won 48% of their road games and were expected to win 49%. At home they have a 53% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 52%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (11-9, 55%) is better than their expected 50% win percentage. In simulations, the Angels are a below average team and won 49% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#18 in the league). They have moved up from #23 in the league back on 5/24.
Their average run differential is +0.09 which ranks #9 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #8 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #9 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is +0.67 which ranks them #7 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY
The Angels next 10 game forecast looks pretty dreary. They have 3 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, 3 more 'toss up' games, and 4 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 4-6 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 6 or more are 26.9%. At #9 in the league, they are behind the Athletics by 2.5 points. With a -0.96 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the White Sox by 2.5 points. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the White Sox. There is only a -0.22 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games.
Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Angels are the 4th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Angels are playing 12 games, traveling 17730 miles crossing 28 time zones. They rank #2 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
The Los Angeles Angels' next game is on June 26. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|38||Anderson, Justin||RP||6-3||205||09/28/1992||2||No College|
|39||Bard, Luke||RP||6-3||200||11/13/1990||2||Georgia Tech|
|51||Barria, Jaime||P||6-1||210||07/18/1996||2||No College|
|32||Bedrosian, Cam||RP||6-0||230||10/02/1991||6||No College|
|41||Bour, Justin||1B||6-4||270||05/28/1988||6||No College|
|31||Buttrey, Ty||RP||6-6||245||03/31/1993||2||No College|
|56||Calhoun, Kole||RF||5-10||200||10/14/1987||8||Arizona State|
|6||Fletcher, David||3B||5-10||175||05/31/1994||2||No College|
|40||Garcia, Luis||RP||6-3||235||01/30/1987||7||No College|
|13||Garneau, Dustin||C||6-2||205||08/13/1987||5||No College|
|18||Goodwin, Brian||LF||6-0||200||11/02/1990||4||No College|
|28||Heaney, Andrew||SP||6-2||185||06/05/1991||6||Oklahoma State|
|65||Jewell, Jake||RP||6-3||200||05/16/1993||2||No College|
|9||La Stella, Tommy||2B||5-11||170||01/31/1989||6||No College|
|17||Ohtani, Shohei||DH||6-4||200||07/05/1994||2||No College|
|64||Pena, Felix||RP||6-2||185||02/25/1990||4||No College|
|5||Pujols, Albert||1B||6-3||240||01/16/1980||19||No College|
|24||Ramirez, Noe||RP||6-3||195||12/22/1989||5||No College|
|4||Rengifo, Luis||2B||5-10||165||02/26/1997||1||No College|
|57||Robles, Hansel||RP||5-11||185||08/13/1990||5||No College|
|45||Skaggs, Tyler||SP||6-4||225||07/13/1991||7||No College|
|19||Tovar, Wilfredo||SS||5-7||180||08/11/1991||3||No College|
|27||Trout, Mike||CF||6-2||235||08/07/1991||9||No College|
|8||Upton, Justin||LF||6-2||205||08/25/1987||13||No College|