|Team Outlook and Scouting Report|
NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY
The Royals next 10 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They have 2 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, and 7 games where they are a clear underdog.
The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 4-6 (27% chance). Their chances of winning 6 or more are 17%. At #13 in the league, they are behind the Blue Jays by one point. With a -0.38 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. With a +0.97 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.
The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Royals are the 10th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Royals are playing 11 games, traveling 13075 miles crossing 15 time zones. They rank #6 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.
Sportsline has a free pick on the Kansas City Royals' next game. They are +184 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.
SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: D
Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 28-52 Royals 'should have' 34 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 23 good wins vs 18 bad losses. They have won 31% of their road games and were expected to win 40%. At home they have a 39% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 45%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (9-12, 43%) is better than their expected 41% win percentage. In simulations where the Royals played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 41% of the time (#26 in the league). Their peak rank was #23 in the league back on 4/20.
Their record should be better. Their average run differential is -0.72 which ranks #11 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #13. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #10 ranked team in run differential in home games, vs #13 in road games. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 14 games is +0.93 (#5 over this stretch).
TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):
ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):
LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)
Before the season, the Royals were projected for 76 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 3/31 they had a 78.1% chance before dropping to 62.7% on 6/10. From the start of the season to now their projected point total is down to 68.2.
Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier
Royals' Season Forecast Changes
Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.
|2||Arteaga, Humberto||SS||6-1||200||01/23/1994||0||No College|
|21||Bailey, Homer||SP||6-4||225||05/03/1986||13||No College|
|58||Barlow, Scott||RP||6-3||215||12/18/1992||2||No College|
|19||Cuthbert, Cheslor||3B||6-1||205||11/16/1992||5||No College|
|40||Diekman, Jake||RP||6-4||205||01/21/1987||8||No College|
|17||Dozier, Hunter||3B||6-4||220||08/22/1991||3||No College|
|41||Duffy, Danny||SP||6-3||205||12/21/1988||9||No College|
|33||Flynn, Brian||RP||6-8||240||04/19/1990||6||No College|
|36||Gallagher, Cam||C||6-3||230||12/06/1992||3||No College|
|0||Gore, Terrance||RF||5-7||165||06/08/1991||6||No College|
|6||Hamilton, Billy||CF||6-1||160||09/09/1990||7||No College|
|65||Junis, Jake||SP||6-3||210||09/16/1992||3||No College|
|56||Keller, Brad||SP||6-5||230||07/27/1995||2||No College|
|28||Lopez, Jorge||SP||6-2||205||02/10/1993||4||No College|
|1||Lopez, Nicky||2B||5-11||175||03/13/1995||1||No College|
|16||Maldonado, Martin||C||6-0||230||08/16/1986||9||No College|
|61||McCarthy, Kevin||RP||6-3||200||02/22/1992||4||No College|
|15||Merrifield, Whit||RF||6-1||195||01/24/1989||4||South Carolina|
|43||Peralta, Wily||RP||6-1||255||05/08/1989||8||No College|
|12||Soler, Jorge||DH||6-4||240||02/25/1992||6||No College|
|57||Sparkman, Glenn||RP||6-2||200||05/11/1992||3||No College|