Kansas City
Royals
Stadium Kauffman Stadium
28-52 Overall | AL CENTRAL 5th
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Royals.244343804.93
Schedule
Regular season
Thu  6/20
vs
Twins
W4-1
Fri  6/21
vs
Twins
L7-8
Sat  6/22
vs
Twins
L / 103-5
Sun  6/23
vs
Twins
W6-1
Mon  6/24
@
Indians
L / 102-3
Tue  6/25
@
Indians
W8-6
Wed  6/26
@
Indians
1:10pm
Fri  6/28
@
Blue Jays
7:07pm
Sat  6/29
@
Blue Jays
4:07pm
Sun  6/30
@
Blue Jays
1:07pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The Royals next 10 game forecast looks rough, to say the least. They have 2 games where they are favored by >60% of the simulations, and 7 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUN 26
LIKELY LOSS
30% @CLE
695 miles
JUN 28
CLOSE GAME
41% @TOR
844 miles
JUN 29
CLOSE GAME
47% @TOR
-- miles
JUN 30
LIKELY WIN
65% @TOR
-- miles
JUL 1
CLOSE GAME
55% @TOR
-- miles
JUL 2
LIKELY LOSS
34% CLE
844 miles
JUL 3
LIKELY LOSS
38% CLE
--
JUL 4
LIKELY LOSS
38% CLE
--
JUL 5
LIKELY LOSS
35% @WAS
938 miles
JUL 6
LIKELY LOSS
29% @WAS
-- miles

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 4-6 (27% chance). Their chances of winning 6 or more are 17%. At #13 in the league, they are behind the Blue Jays by one point. With a -0.38 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. With a +0.97 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they have a good chance of widening the gap.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Royals are the 10th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Royals are playing 11 games, traveling 13075 miles crossing 15 time zones. They rank #6 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Kansas City Royals' next game. They are +184 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: D

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 28-52 Royals 'should have' 34 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 23 good wins vs 18 bad losses. They have won 31% of their road games and were expected to win 40%. At home they have a 39% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 45%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (9-12, 43%) is better than their expected 41% win percentage. In simulations where the Royals played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 41% of the time (#26 in the league). Their peak rank was #23 in the league back on 4/20.

Their record should be better. Their average run differential is -0.72 which ranks #11 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #13. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #10 ranked team in run differential in home games, vs #13 in road games. Based on run differential, they are trending up. Their average run differential in their past 14 games is +0.93 (#5 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

Before the season, the Royals were projected for 76 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 3/31 they had a 78.1% chance before dropping to 62.7% on 6/10. From the start of the season to now their projected point total is down to 68.2.

Strength of Schedule Getting Much Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 47% #4 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 52% #4 Toughest

Royals' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
2 Arteaga, Humberto SS6-120001/23/19940No College
21 Bailey, Homer SP6-422505/03/198613No College
58 Barlow, Scott RP6-321512/18/19922No College
26 Boxberger, Brad RP6-220505/27/19888USC
19 Cuthbert, Cheslor 3B6-120511/16/19925No College
40 Diekman, Jake RP6-420501/21/19878No College
17 Dozier, Hunter 3B6-422008/22/19913No College
9 Duda, Lucas DH6-425602/03/198610USC
41 Duffy, Danny SP6-320512/21/19889No College
33 Flynn, Brian RP6-824004/19/19906No College
36 Gallagher, Cam C6-323012/06/19923No College
4 Gordon, Alex LF6-122002/10/198413Nebraska
0 Gore, Terrance RF5-716506/08/19916No College
6 Hamilton, Billy CF6-116009/09/19907No College
65 Junis, Jake SP6-321009/16/19923No College
56 Keller, Brad SP6-523007/27/19952No College
31 Kennedy, Ian RP6-019512/19/198413USC
28 Lopez, Jorge SP6-220502/10/19934No College
1 Lopez, Nicky 2B5-1117503/13/19951No College
16 Maldonado, Martin C6-023008/16/19869No College
61 McCarthy, Kevin RP6-320002/22/19924No College
15 Merrifield, Whit RF6-119501/24/19894South Carolina
43 Peralta, Wily RP6-125505/08/19898No College
12 Soler, Jorge DH6-424002/25/19926No College
57 Sparkman, Glenn RP6-220005/11/19923No College