Houston
Astros
Stadium Minute Maid Park
50-30 Overall | AL WEST 1st
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Astros.2674101303.69
Schedule
Regular season
Thu  6/20
@
Yankees
L6-10
Fri  6/21
@
Yankees
L1-4
Sat  6/22
@
Yankees
L5-7
Sun  6/23
@
Yankees
W9-4
Tue  6/25
vs
Pirates
W5-1
Wed  6/26
vs
Pirates
8:10pm
Thu  6/27
vs
Pirates
2:10pm
Fri  6/28
vs
Mariners
8:10pm
Sat  6/29
vs
Mariners
FOX8:15pm
Sun  6/30
vs
Mariners
2:10pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: BRIGHT

The forecast for their next 9 games is very good. They have 8 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUN 26
LIKELY WIN
86% PIT
--
JUN 27
LIKELY WIN
64% PIT
--
JUN 28
LIKELY WIN
79% SEA
--
JUN 29
LIKELY WIN
75% SEA
--
JUN 30
LIKELY WIN
66% SEA
--
JUL 2
CLOSE GAME
45% @COL
881 miles
JUL 3
CLOSE GAME
49% @COL
-- miles
JUL 5
LIKELY WIN
71% LAA
--
JUL 6
LIKELY WIN
66% LAA
--
JUL 7
LIKELY WIN
70% LAA
--

The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 6-3 (28% chance). Their chances of winning 8 or more are 13.3%. Their chances of winning their next 9 are 2.2%. At #3 in the league, they are behind the Yankees by 1.5 points. With a +1.66 advantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they have a good chance of improving their league seed. They are ahead of the Rays by 4.5 points. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Rays. Their projected wins (6) over the next 9 games is virtually the same so we do not expect a change in standings in the near term.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Astros are the 7th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Astros are playing 10 games, traveling 3524 miles crossing 4 time zones. They rank #18 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

The Houston Astros' next game is on June 26. Visit Sportsline.com to get picks, free trends and player projections for this game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-

At 50-30 the Astros are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 48.2 wins. They have 23 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 20 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game, or a 5+ final margin). They have won 54% of their road games and were expected to win 58%. At home they have a 72% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 63%. Over the past 3 weeks they have played poorly going 9-10, 47%. The Astros perform very well in our power ranking simulations beating every other team 62.8% of the time (#2 in the league). Their peak rank was #1 in the league back on 5/22.

Their record should be slightly better. Their average run differential is +1.24 which ranks #2 in the AL, but their rank based on win percentage is #3. They are the #2 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams. They are trending down. Their average run differential in their past 12 games is 0 (#8 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

The Astros are World Series contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 18.9% chance of winning it all. On 4/8 they had an 11.5% chance before increasing to 23% on 5/23. Their current chances are at 18.8%. They are basically a lock to win the division at 97.4%. Based on the odds, they have a 28.6% chance of winning the AL (5/2) and a 16.7% chance of winning it all (5/1). In simulations they make the World Series 33.3% of the time.

Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Easy

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #16 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 50% #16 Easiest

Astros' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

  • default-player-image
    Scout Staff

    Springer Removed With Hamstring

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
27 Altuve, Jose 2B5-616405/06/19909No College
44 Alvarez, Yordan DH6-524206/27/19971No College
23 Brantley, Michael LF6-221005/15/198711No College
2 Bregman, Alex 3B6-019203/30/19944LSU
28 Chirinos, Robinson C6-121006/05/19848No College
45 Cole, Gerrit SP6-422509/08/19907UCLA
47 Devenski, Chris RP6-320911/13/19904No College
10 Gurriel, Yuli 1B6-020206/09/19844No College
36 Harris, Will RP6-424908/28/19848LSU
39 James, Josh RP6-322203/08/19932No College
18 Kemp, Tony 2B5-616310/31/19914Vanderbilt
6 Marisnick, Jake CF6-422803/30/19917No College
31 McHugh, Collin SP6-219206/19/19878No College
20 Miley, Wade SP6-219511/13/19869No College
54 Osuna, Roberto RP6-223002/07/19955No College
41 Peacock, Brad SP6-120802/02/19888No College
55 Pressly, Ryan RP6-221012/15/19887No College
22 Reddick, Josh RF6-219502/19/198711No College
30 Rondon, Hector RP6-323002/26/19887No College
4 Springer, George RF6-322109/19/19896Connecticut
12 Stassi, Max C5-1020003/15/19917No College
26 Straw, Myles CF5-1017910/17/19942No College
59 Valdez, Framber RP5-1122211/19/19932No College
35 Verlander, Justin SP6-522502/20/198315No College
13 White, Tyler 1B5-1122110/29/19904No College