Detroit
Tigers
Stadium Comerica Park
26-48 Overall | AL CENTRAL 4th
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Tigers.230263654.93
Schedule
Regular season
Wed  6/19
@
Pirates
L7-8
Fri  6/21
@
Indians
L6-7
Sat  6/22
@
Indians
L0-2
Sun  6/23
@
Indians
L3-8
Tue  6/25
vs
Rangers
L3-5
Wed  6/26
vs
Rangers
7:10pm
Thu  6/27
vs
Rangers
1:10pm
Fri  6/28
vs
Nationals
7:10pm
Sat  6/29
vs
Nationals
FS14:10pm
Sun  6/30
vs
Nationals
1:10pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: STORMY

The forecast for their next 10 games is not good. They are the clear underdog in 10 out of the 10 games.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUN 26
CLOSE GAME
40% TEX
--
JUN 27
LIKELY LOSS
40% TEX
--
JUN 28
LIKELY LOSS
26% WAS
--
JUN 29
LIKELY LOSS
21% WAS
--
JUN 30
LIKELY LOSS
20% WAS
--
JUL 2
CLOSE GAME
41% @CHW
238 miles
JUL 3
LIKELY LOSS
37% @CHW
-- miles
JUL 3
LIKELY LOSS
26% @CHW
238 miles
JUL 4
LIKELY LOSS
28% @CHW
-- miles
JUL 5
LIKELY LOSS
32% BOS
238 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 3-7 (27% chance). Their chances of winning 5 or more are 16.6%. With a -0.97 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Orioles by 6 points. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Orioles. Their projected wins (3.09) over the next 10 games is virtually the same so we do not expect a change in standings in the near term.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Tigers are just the 25th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Tigers are playing 12 games, traveling 1904 miles crossing 8 time zones. They rank #29 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

According to Sportsline the Detroit Tigers are -110 favorites but their simulated win percentage is very different and we see this as a pick with a lot of value. Get the pick for this game at Sportsline.com.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: F

Based on the money line projected win totals in each game, the 26-49 Tigers 'should have' 30 wins. They have 24 bad losses (they were favored or got blown out as slight underdogs) vs 20 good wins (wins as clear underdog, or 2+ final margin in what was expected to be a close game, or a 5+ final margin). They have come up especially short at home. Their 11-26- home record is -13% lower than their expected win percentage. Losers of 5 in a row they have a 36% chance of seeing that extend to 7 straight. In simulations where the Tigers played every other team (neutral court in playoffs) they won just 31.2% of the time (#30 in the league). Their peak rank was #27 in the league back on 4/24.

Their average run differential is -1.92 which ranks #14 in the AL, which is the same as how they rank in win percentage. They are the #14 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats). This is the same ranking they have among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 11 games is -2.91.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (DOWN OVERALL)

Before the season, the Tigers were projected for 63.3 points (average per simulation), and their projected points has been up and down this season. On 5/9 they had a 66.7% chance before dropping to 50.2% on 5/24. From the start of the season to now their projected point total is down to 52.2.

Strength of Schedule Getting Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #9 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 50% #16 Easiest

Tigers' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
50 Adams, Austin RP5-1120008/19/19864No College
58 Alcantara, Victor RP6-219004/03/19933No College
29 Beckham, Gordon SS6-019009/16/198611Georgia
48 Boyd, Matthew SP6-323402/02/19915Oregon State
24 Cabrera, Miguel DH6-424904/18/198317No College
9 Castellanos, Nicholas RF6-420303/04/19927No College
30 Castro, Harold 2B5-1015111/30/19932No College
67 Cisnero, Jose RP6-324504/11/19893No College
12 Dixon, Brandon 1B6-221501/29/19922Arizona
45 Farmer, Buck RP6-423202/20/19916Georgia Tech
28 Goodrum, Niko SS6-319802/28/19923No College
61 Greene, Shane RP6-419711/17/19886No College
36 Hardy, Blaine RP6-221803/14/19876No College
55 Hicks, John C6-223008/31/19895Virginia
77 Jimenez, Joe RP6-327201/17/19953No College
21 Jones, JaCoby CF6-220105/10/19924LSU
44 Norris, Daniel SP6-218504/25/19936No College
63 Ramirez, Nick RP6-423208/01/19891No College
60 Rodriguez, Ronny SS6-018004/17/19922No College
14 Stewart, Christin LF6-022012/10/19932Tennessee
68 Stumpf, Daniel RP6-220801/04/19914No College
56 Turnbull, Spencer SP6-321109/18/19922Alabama
37 Wilson, Bobby C6-022604/08/198310No College
27 Zimmermann, Jordan SP6-222505/23/198611No College