Chicago
Cubs
Stadium Wrigley Field
43-36 Overall | NL CENTRAL 1st
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Cubs.2523991223.86
Schedule
Regular season
Fri  6/21
vs
Mets
L4-5
Sat  6/22
vs
Mets
L2-10
Sun  6/23
vs
Mets
W5-3
Mon  6/24
vs
Braves
W8-3
Tue  6/25
vs
Braves
L2-3
Wed  6/26
vs
Braves
8:05pm
Thu  6/27
vs
Braves
2:20pm
Fri  6/28
@
Reds
7:10pm
Sat  6/29
@
Reds
4:10pm
Sun  6/30
@
Reds
1:10pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The forecast for their next 10 games is generally good. They have 4 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 4 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 1 game where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUN 26
CLOSE GAME
51% ATL
--
JUN 27
LIKELY WIN
63% ATL
--
JUN 28
CLOSE GAME
56% @CIN
257 miles
JUN 29
CLOSE GAME
54% @CIN
-- miles
JUN 30
LIKELY WIN
68% @CIN
-- miles
JUL 1
CLOSE GAME
41% @PIT
257 miles
JUL 2
CLOSE GAME
56% @PIT
-- miles
JUL 3
LIKELY WIN
66% @PIT
-- miles
JUL 4
LIKELY WIN
71% @PIT
-- miles
JUL 6
CLOSE GAME
54% @CHW
8 miles

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 6-4 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 8 or more are 12.7%. At #3 in the league, they are behind the Braves by 3.5 points. They have a +0.56 advantage in projected wins over their next 10 games and could narrow the gap. They are ahead of the Brewers by one point. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Brewers. Their projected wins (5.81) over the next 10 games is virtually the same so we do not expect a change in standings in the near term.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the Cubs are just the 27th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Cubs are playing 11 games, traveling 4862 miles crossing 14 time zones. They rank #25 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Chicago Cubs' next game. They are -123 favorites and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B

At 43-36 the Cubs are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 41.8 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 18 good wins but they also have 18 bad losses. They have won 42% of their road games and were expected to win 48%. At home they have a 65% win percentage vs an expected win rate of 57%. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (11-10, 52%) is pretty much what was expected of them and mirrors their season overall. The Cubs are a good team (in simulations) and won 55.9% of the simulations vs every other team playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#8 in the league). Their peak rank was #3 in the league back on 5/6.

Their record should be slightly better. Their average run differential is +0.8 which ranks #2 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #3. This is a relatively better home team than a road team. They are the #2 ranked team in run differential in home games, vs #5 in road games. They are trending down. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is +0.38 (#6 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG

The Cubs are World Series contenders, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 7.8% chance of winning it all. On 4/15 they had a 3.1% chance before increasing to 16% on 5/6. From the start of the season to now their chances are down to 7.3%. They have a 62.9% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #3 in the conference and have a 86% chance of making the playoffs. Based on the odds, they have a 16.7% chance of winning the NL (5/1) and a 7.7% chance of winning it all (12/1). In simulations they make the World Series 17.7% of the time.

Season Strength of Schedule is Relatively Hard

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #9 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 51% #8 Toughest

Cubs' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

  • MLB: Chicago White Sox at Chicago Cubs
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    Things to know from the day in MLB

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
5 Almora, Albert CF6-219004/16/19944No College
73 Alzolay, Adbert RP6-121803/01/19951No College
9 Baez, Javier SS6-019012/01/19926No College
33 Barnette, Tony RP6-119011/09/19834Arizona State
13 Bote, David 3B6-121004/07/19932No College
29 Brach, Brad RP6-420504/12/19869No College
17 Bryant, Kris 3B6-523001/04/19925No College
7 Caratini, Victor C6-121508/17/19933No College
32 Chatwood, Tyler RP5-1120012/16/19898No College
41 Cishek, Steve RP6-621706/18/198610No College
40 Contreras, Willson C6-121205/13/19924No College
11 Darvish, Yu SP6-521608/16/19867No College
3 Descalso, Daniel 2B5-1020010/19/198610No College
2 Gonzalez, Carlos RF6-122010/17/198512No College
35 Hamels, Cole SP6-420512/27/198314No College
22 Heyward, Jason RF6-524008/09/198910No College
20 Kintzler, Brandon RP6-019408/01/198410No College
34 Lester, Jon SP6-424001/07/198414No College
38 Montgomery, Mike RP6-521507/01/19895No College
62 Quintana, Jose SP6-122001/24/19898No College
44 Rizzo, Anthony 1B6-324008/08/19899No College
27 Russell, Addison 2B6-020001/23/19945No College
56 Ryan, Kyle RP6-521509/25/19915No College
12 Schwarber, Kyle LF6-022003/05/19935Indiana
46 Strop, Pedro RP6-122006/13/198511No College