Atlanta
Braves
Stadium SunTrust Park
47-33 Overall | NL EAST 1st
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Braves.2634331244.25
Schedule
Regular season
Fri  6/21
@
Nationals
L3-4
Sat  6/22
@
Nationals
W13-9
Sun  6/23
@
Nationals
W / 104-3
Mon  6/24
@
Cubs
L3-8
Tue  6/25
@
Cubs
W3-2
Wed  6/26
@
Cubs
8:05pm
Thu  6/27
@
Cubs
2:20pm
Fri  6/28
@
Mets
7:10pm
Sat  6/29
@
Mets
4:10pm
Sun  6/30
@
Mets
ESPN7:08pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: TRENDING UP

The Braves are World Series contenders and their chances are clearly on the rise. In our pre-season forecast they had a 1.2% chance of winning it all. On 5/15 they had a 0.3% chance before increasing to 5% on 6/24. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 4.6%. They have a 59.3% chance of winning their division. They are projected to finish #2 in the conference and have a 79% chance of making the playoffs. Based on the odds, they have a 16.7% chance of winning the NL (5/1) and a 7.7% chance of winning it all (12/1). In simulations they make the World Series 11% of the time.

Strength of Schedule Getting Tougher

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 49% #16 Easiest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 48% #9 Easiest

Braves' Season Forecast Changes

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: A-

At 47-33 the Braves are greatly exceeding their money line projected win total of 43 wins. In the process of beating expectations they have had 24 impressive wins where they were given

Their record is better than it should be. Their average run differential is +0.56 which ranks #4 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #2. They are the #3 ranked team in run differential (based on all teams' road stats) and the #5 ranked team among home teams. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is +1.69 which ranks them #2 over this stretch, slightly better than overall.

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

NEXT 10 GAME OUTLOOK: PARTLY SUNNY

The forecast for their next 10 games is generally good. They have 2 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, and just 3 games where they are a clear underdog. The rest of the games are toss ups.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUN 26
CLOSE GAME
49% @CHC
595 miles
JUN 27
LIKELY LOSS
37% @CHC
-- miles
JUN 28
CLOSE GAME
52% @NYM
721 miles
JUN 29
CLOSE GAME
47% @NYM
-- miles
JUN 30
CLOSE GAME
46% @NYM
-- miles
JUL 2
CLOSE GAME
58% PHI
--
JUL 3
CLOSE GAME
45% PHI
--
JUL 4
LIKELY WIN
71% PHI
--
JUL 5
CLOSE GAME
52% MIA
--
JUL 6
LIKELY WIN
65% MIA
--

The most likely scenario over the next 10 games is a record of 5-5 (25% chance). Their chances of winning 7 or more are 21.9%. At #2 in the league, they are behind the Dodgers by 7.5 points. With a -1.53 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are ahead of the Cubs by 3.5 points. With a -0.56 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 10 games they may find the gap between them closing.

The Fatigue Index factors for travel (miles, time zones crossed) and games played. Based on this index the Braves are the 15th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the Braves are playing 11 games, traveling 6321 miles crossing 3 time zones. They rank #19 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Atlanta Braves' next game. They are +107 underdogs and there is slight value on them to win. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is a lot of value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
13 Acuna, Ronald CF6-018012/18/19972No College
1 Albies, Ozzie 2B5-816501/07/19973No College
50 Blevins, Jerry RP6-619009/06/198313No College
17 Camargo, Johan 3B6-019512/13/19933No College
8 Culberson, Charlie LF6-120004/10/19897No College
20 Donaldson, Josh 3B6-121012/08/19859Auburn
25 Flowers, Tyler C6-426001/24/198611No College
5 Freeman, Freddie 1B6-522009/12/198910No College
54 Fried, Max SP6-419001/18/19943No College
77 Jackson, Luke RP6-221008/24/19915No College
14 Joyce, Matt RF6-220008/03/198412No College
60 Keuchel, Dallas SP6-320701/01/19888Arkansas
22 Markakis, Nick RF6-121011/17/198314No College
16 McCann, Brian C6-321502/20/198415No College
33 Minter, A.J. RP6-021509/02/19933Texas A&M
15 Newcomb, Sean RP6-525506/12/19933No College
27 Riley, Austin LF6-324004/02/19971No College
40 Soroka, Michael SP6-4195No College
7 Swanson, Dansby SS6-119002/11/19944Vanderbilt
38 Swarzak, Anthony RP6-421509/10/198510No College
49 Teheran, Julio SP6-220501/27/19919No College
32 Tomlin, Josh RP6-119010/19/198410Texas Tech
62 Toussaint, Touki RP6-321506/20/19962No College
71 Webb, Jacob RP6-221008/15/19931No College
30 Wright, Kyle SP6-421510/02/19952Vanderbilt