Arizona
Diamondbacks
Stadium Chase Field
40-41 Overall | NL WEST 3rd
TEAM STATSAVGRHRERA
Diamondbacks.2574151194.34
Schedule
Regular season
Fri  6/21
vs
Giants
L5-11
Sat  6/22
vs
Giants
L4-7
Sun  6/23
vs
Giants
W / 103-2
Mon  6/24
vs
Dodgers
W8-5
Tue  6/25
vs
Dodgers
L2-3
Wed  6/26
vs
Dodgers
3:40pm
Thu  6/27
@
Giants
9:45pm
Fri  6/28
@
Giants
10:15pm
Sat  6/29
@
Giants
10:05pm
Sun  6/30
@
Giants
4:05pm
Team Outlook and Scouting Report

NEXT 9 GAME OUTLOOK: CLOUDY

The forecast for their next 9 games can be described as 'cloudy'. They have 2 likely wins where they are winning >60% of the simulations which translates to being at least a -150 favorite, 3 more games where they are favored by at least 53%, and just 5 games where they are a clear underdog.

Win%, Opp, and Distance to Road Game

JUN 26
LIKELY LOSS
30% LAD
--
JUN 27
CLOSE GAME
58% @SF
653 miles
JUN 28
CLOSE GAME
58% @SF
-- miles
JUN 29
LIKELY WIN
73% @SF
-- miles
JUN 30
CLOSE GAME
57% @SF
-- miles
JUL 2
LIKELY LOSS
21% @LAD
358 miles
JUL 3
LIKELY LOSS
27% @LAD
-- miles
JUL 5
LIKELY WIN
65% COL
--
JUL 6
CLOSE GAME
46% COL
--
JUL 7
LIKELY LOSS
33% COL
--

The most likely scenario over the next 9 games is a record of 4-5 (26% chance). Their chances of winning 6 or more are 21.4%. At #8 in the league, they are behind the Cardinals by 1.5 points. With a -0.33 disadvantage in projected wins over their next 9 games they may find themselves further behind in the league. They are in a battle with Padres in the league. In the short-term, we do predict much of a change in the gap between them and the Padres. There is only a -0.39 advantage in projected wins over their next 9 games.

Our Fatigue Index ranks teams based on travel miles, time zones crossed, days off since their last game and based on these metrics the D-Backs are just the 27th most fatigued team heading into the next game. Over the next few weeks, the D-Backs are playing 10 games, traveling 6656 miles crossing no time zones. They rank #23 on the Fatigue Index during this time period.

Sportsline has a free pick on the Arizona Diamondbacks' next game. They are +126 underdogs and are not a good value. Visit Sportsline.com to find out if there is good value on this pick and get picks vs totals, money lines and a complete projected box score of the game.

SEASON-TO-DATE GRADE: B

At 40-41 the D-Backs are exceeding expectations. The combined projected win total based on per game money lines is 39 wins. If you consider winning as a clear-cut underdog or winning by 2+ as a slight favorite, or by 5+ as a favorite then they have 31 good wins vs 15 bad losses. They have been better than expected on the road. Their 24-19- road record is +11% better than their expected win percentage. Their record over the last 3 weeks and win% (10-10, 50%) is pretty much what was expected of them and mirrors their season overall. The D-Backs should be a slightly above average team based on simulations where they won 51.8% of the simulations played vs every other team as if they were playing on a neutral court with players available in the playoffs (#14 in the league). They have moved up from #18 in the league back on 3/27.

Their record should be better. Their average run differential is +0.51 which ranks #5 in the NL, but their rank based on win percentage is #8. This is a relatively better road team than a home team. They are the #1 ranked team in run differential in road games, vs #9 in home games. They are trending down. Their average run differential in their past 13 games is -1.31 (#13 over this stretch).

TEAM STATS PER GAME (League Rank):

ALLOWED TO OPPOSING TEAMS (Lower # is Better):

Sportsline not only has a pick on every game and line our Experts provide winning Daily Fantasy Optimal Lineups every day.

LONG TERM OUTLOOK: MIXED BAG (UP OVERALL)

The D-Backs are competing to make the playoffs, but they have seen their chances go up and down this season. In our pre-season forecast they had a 13% chance of making the playoffs. On 3/30 they had an 8.8% chance before increasing to 64.2% on 5/5. From the start of the season to now their chances are up significantly to 17.7%. The odds still give them a sliver of hope to win the NL at 1% (100/1 odds) and a 0.5% chance of winning it all (200/1).

Strength of Schedule Getting Easier

  • Remaining Opponents' Win Percentage Rest of Season: 50% #9 Toughest
  • Season-to-Date Opponents' Win Percentage: 52% #4 Toughest

D-Backs' Season Forecast Changes

FANTASY PROFILE

Based on rest of season projections, these are the 6 most valuable fantasy players based on their projected position rank (SP, RP, C, 1B/DH, 2B, 3B, SS, OF). Overvalued players are rated higher by the market based on ownership% and vice versa.

Roster
NoPlayerPosHeightWeightBirthdateEXPCOLLEGE
13 Ahmed, Nick SS6-219503/15/19906Connecticut
35 Andriese, Matt RP6-222508/28/19895No College
25 Bradley, Archie RP6-422508/10/19925No College
40 Chafin, Andrew RP6-222506/17/19906Kent State
45 Clarke, Taylor SP6-420005/13/19931No College
--- Crichton, Stefan 6-321002/29/19922TCU
1 Dyson, Jarrod CF5-1016508/15/198410No College
5 Escobar, Eduardo 3B5-1018501/05/19899No College
52 Godley, Zack RP6-324004/21/19905Tennessee
21 Greinke, Zack SP6-220010/21/198316No College
66 Hirano, Yoshihisa RP6-118503/08/19842No College
56 Holland, Greg RP5-1021511/20/19859No College
10 Jones, Adam RF6-221508/01/198514No College
14 Joseph, Caleb C6-318006/18/19866No College
18 Kelly, Carson C6-222007/14/19944No College
29 Kelly, Merrill SP6-219010/14/19881Arizona State
2 Leyba, Domingo 2B5-1116009/11/19951No College
16 Locastro, Tim LF6-120007/14/19923No College
50 Lopez, Yoan RP6-318501/02/19932No College
4 Marte, Ketel 2B6-116510/12/19935No College
30 McFarland, T.J. RP6-322006/08/19897No College
6 Peralta, David LF6-121008/14/19876No College
38 Ray, Robbie SP6-219510/01/19916No College
19 Swihart, Blake RF6-120004/03/19925No College
15 Vargas, Ildemaro 2B6-017007/16/19913No College
53 Walker, Christian 1B6-022003/28/19915South Carolina